New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Gottheimer a 76% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Josh Gottheimer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Gottheimer — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Arati S. Kreibich — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts