New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher H. Smith a 75% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Christopher H. Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Christopher H. Smith — 75% model odds (won)
2. Alter Eliezer Richter — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts