New Jersey House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stephanie Schmid an 80% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2020 primary. Stephanie Schmid won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Stephanie Schmid — 80% model odds (won)
2. Christine Conforti — 10% model odds
3. David Applefield — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts