New Hampshire Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeanne Shaheen a 22% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2020 primary. Corky Messner won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Jeanne Shaheen — 22% model odds
- Corky Messner — 11% model odds (won)
- Don Bolduc — 11% model odds
- Andy Martin — 11% model odds
- Gerard Beloin — 11% model odds
- Scattered — 11% model odds
- Tom Alciere — 11% model odds
- Paul J. Krautmann — 11% model odds