New Hampshire House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anne Mcclane Kuster a 47% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2020 primary. Steven Negron won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Anne Mcclane Kuster — 47% model odds
  2. Steven Negron — 38% model odds (won)
  3. Lynne Ferrari Blankenbeker — 4% model odds
  4. Scattered — 4% model odds
  5. Matthew D. Bjelobrk — 2% model odds
  6. Eli D. Clemmer — 2% model odds
  7. Joseph Mirzoeff — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts