New Hampshire House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Mowers a 65% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2020 primary. Matt Mowers won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Mowers — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Matt Mayberry — 11% model odds
  3. Kevin Rondeau — 6% model odds
  4. Chris Pappas — 6% model odds
  5. Jeff Denaro — 4% model odds
  6. Michael Callis — 4% model odds
  7. Scattered — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts