New Hampshire House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Mowers a 67% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2020 primary. Chris Pappas won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Matt Mowers — 67% model odds
- Matt Mayberry — 10% model odds
- Chris Pappas — 6% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 4% model odds
- Jeff Denaro — 4% model odds
- Michael Callis — 4% model odds
- Kevin Rondeau — 4% model odds