Nebraska House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adrian Smith a 79% chance of winning the Nebraska House 2020 primary. Adrian Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adrian Smith — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Arron Kowalski — 5% model odds
  3. Justin Moran — 5% model odds
  4. William Elfgren — 5% model odds
  5. Larry Lee Scott Bolinger — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts