North Carolina Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thom Tilllis a 57% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2020 primary. Thom Tilllis won, matching the model's top pick.
- Thom Tilllis — 57% model odds (won)
- Paul Wright — 14% model odds
- Larry Holmquist — 14% model odds
- Sharon Y. Hudson — 14% model odds