North Carolina Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cal Cunningham a 77% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2020 primary. Cal Cunningham won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cal Cunningham — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Erica D. Smith — 6% model odds
  3. Trevor M. Fuller — 6% model odds
  4. Steve Swenson — 6% model odds
  5. Atul Goel — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts