North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madison Cawthorn a 71% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Madison Cawthorn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Madison Cawthorn — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Lynda Bennett — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts