North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madison Cawthorn a 62% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Lynda Bennett won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Madison Cawthorn — 62% model odds
- Lynda Bennett — 8% model odds (won)
- Chuck Archerd — 3% model odds
- Joey Osborne — 3% model odds
- Dillon S. Gentry — 3% model odds
- Steven, Jr. Fekete — 3% model odds
- Tamara Zwinak — 3% model odds
- Dan Driscoll — 2% model odds