North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Woodsmall a 59% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Moe Davis won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Steve Woodsmall — 59% model odds
  2. Gina Collias — 13% model odds
  3. Moe Davis — 12% model odds (won)
  4. Phillip G. Price — 7% model odds
  5. Michael O'Shea — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts