North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry an 86% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Mchenry — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Ralf Walters — 11% model odds
  3. David L. Johnson — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts