North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher M. Ward a 33% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Christopher M. Ward won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christopher M. Ward — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Judson — 33% model odds
  3. Robert Colon — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts