North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Laura Pichardo a 71% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Lee Haywood won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Laura Pichardo — 71% model odds
  2. Lee Haywood — 29% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts