North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Manning a 74% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Kathy Manning won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Manning — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Rhonda Foxx — 12% model odds
  3. Bruce Davis — 5% model odds
  4. Derwin L. Montgomery — 5% model odds
  5. Ed, Jr. Hanes — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts