North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Thomas a 25% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Robert Thomas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Thomas — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Debesh Sarkar — 25% model odds
  3. Steve A. Loor — 25% model odds
  4. Nasir A. Shaikh — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts