North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Deborah K. Ross a 65% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Deborah K. Ross won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Deborah K. Ross — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Monika Johnson-Hostler — 23% model odds
  3. Andrew Terrell — 7% model odds
  4. Ollie Oneal Nelson — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts