North Carolina House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sandy Smith an 81% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2020 primary. Sandy Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sandy Smith — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Glisson — 8% model odds
  3. Ethan Baca — 8% model odds
  4. Michele Nix — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts