Montana Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Daines a 65% chance of winning the Montana Senate 2020 primary. Steve Daines won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Steve Daines — 65% model odds (won)
2. John Brian Driscoll — 9% model odds
3. Wendie Fredrickson — 9% model odds
4. Daniel R. Larson — 4% model odds
5. Scattered — 4% model odds
6. Dennis Daneke — 4% model odds
7. Scattered — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts