Montana Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Bullock a 76% chance of winning the Montana Senate 2020 primary. Steve Bullock won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Steve Bullock — 76% model odds (won)
2. John Mues — 8% model odds
3. Mike Knoles — 8% model odds
4. Scattered — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts