Missouri House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Billy Long a 69% chance of winning the Missouri House 2020 primary. Billy Long won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Billy Long — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Camille Lombardi-Olive — 18% model odds
  3. Kevin Vanstory — 5% model odds
  4. Steve Chentnik — 5% model odds
  5. Eric Harleman — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts