Missouri House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald Robert Sartain a 40% chance of winning the Missouri House 2020 primary. Gena L. Ross won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Donald Robert Sartain — 40% model odds
  2. Gena L. Ross — 15% model odds (won)
  3. Ramona Farris — 15% model odds
  4. Henry Martin — 15% model odds
  5. Charles West — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts