Missouri House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Emanuel, Ii Cleaver a 96% chance of winning the Missouri House 2020 primary. Emanuel, Ii Cleaver won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Emanuel, Ii Cleaver — 96% model odds (won)
  2. Maite Salazar — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts