Minnesota Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Lewis a 74% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2020 primary. Jason Lewis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Lewis — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Cynthia Gail — 7% model odds
  3. John L. Berman — 7% model odds
  4. Bob "Again," Jr. Carney — 7% model odds
  5. James Reibestein — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts