Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Fischbach a 20% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Michelle Fischbach won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Fischbach — 20% model odds (won)
  2. Dave Hughes — 20% model odds
  3. Noel Collis — 20% model odds
  4. William Louwagie — 20% model odds
  5. Jayesun Israel Sherman — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts