Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lacy Johnson a 75% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Lacy Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lacy Johnson — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Danielle Stella — 12% model odds
  3. Dalia Al-Aqidi — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts