Minnesota House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ilhan Omar a 40% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2020 primary. Ilhan Omar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ilhan Omar — 40% model odds (won)
2. Antone Melton-Meaux — 15% model odds
3. John Mason — 15% model odds
4. Daniel Patrick Mccarthy — 15% model odds
5. Les Lester — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts