Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Vance Patrick a 73% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Robert Vance Patrick won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Vance Patrick — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Daryle F., Ii Houston — 14% model odds
  3. Clyde K. Shabazz — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts