Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Al Lemmo a 61% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. David Dudenhoefer won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Al Lemmo — 61% model odds
  2. Linda Sawyer — 26% model odds
  3. David Dudenhoefer — 7% model odds (won)
  4. D. Etta Wilcoxon — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts