Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Junge a 38% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Paul Junge won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Paul Junge — 38% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Detmer — 21% model odds
  3. Kristina Lyke — 21% model odds
  4. Alan T. Hoover — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts