Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Fred Upton a 65% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Fred Upton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Fred Upton — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Elena Oelke — 17% model odds
  3. John Lawrence — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts