Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Moolenaar a 50% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. John Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Moolenaar — 50% model odds (won)
2. Amy Slepr — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts