Michigan House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Meijer a 45% chance of winning the Michigan House 2020 primary. Peter Meijer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Peter Meijer — 45% model odds (won)
2. Lynn Afendoulis — 34% model odds
3. Joe Farrington — 12% model odds
4. Thomas J. Norton — 4% model odds
5. Emily Rafi — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts