Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamie Raskin a 70% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. Jamie Raskin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jamie Raskin — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Utam Paul — 19% model odds
  3. Marcia H. Morgan — 5% model odds
  4. Lih Young — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts