Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave William Newton a 32% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. Kimberly Klacik won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. William Newton — 32% model odds
  2. Kimberly Klacik — 14% model odds (won)
  3. Liz Matory — 14% model odds
  4. Ray Bly — 14% model odds
  5. Brian L. Brown — 14% model odds
  6. M.J. Madwolf — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts