Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kweisi # Mfume a 7% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. Kweisi # Mfume won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kweisi # Mfume — 7% model odds (won)
  2. T. Dan Baker — 7% model odds
  3. Dan Hiegel — 7% model odds
  4. Maya Rockeymoore Cummings — 5% model odds
  5. Jill P. Carter — 5% model odds
  6. Alicia D. Brown — 5% model odds
  7. Charles Stokes — 5% model odds
  8. Jay Jalisi — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts