Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steny H. Hoyer an 82% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. Steny H. Hoyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steny H. Hoyer — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Mckayla Wilkes — 6% model odds
  3. Vanessa Marie Hoffman — 5% model odds
  4. William A., Iii Devine — 5% model odds
  5. Briana Urbina — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts