Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Sarbanes a 44% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. John Sarbanes won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Sarbanes — 44% model odds (won)
  2. Joseph C. Ardito — 44% model odds
  3. John M. Rea — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts