Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Johnny Ray Salling a 14% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. Johnny Ray Salling won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Johnny Ray Salling — 14% model odds (won)
  2. Genevieve Morris — 14% model odds
  3. Tim Fazenbaker — 14% model odds
  4. Rick Impallaria — 14% model odds
  5. Jim Simpson — 14% model odds
  6. Scott M. Collier — 14% model odds
  7. Blaine Taylor — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts