Maryland House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Allison Galbraith a 91% chance of winning the Maryland House 2020 primary. Mia Mason won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Allison Galbraith — 91% model odds
  2. Mia Mason — 5% model odds (won)
  3. Jennifer Pingley — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts