Kentucky Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mitch Mcconnell a 74% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2020 primary. Mitch Mcconnell won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mitch Mcconnell — 74% model odds (won)
2. C. Wesley Morgan — 4% model odds
3. Louis Grider — 4% model odds
4. Paul John Frangedakis — 4% model odds
5. Naren James — 4% model odds
6. Kenneth Lowndes — 4% model odds
7. Nicholas Alsager — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts