Kentucky Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amy Mcgrath a 30% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2020 primary. Amy Mcgrath won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Amy Mcgrath — 30% model odds (won)
  2. Mary Ann Tobin — 12% model odds
  3. Charles Booker — 7% model odds
  4. Mike Broihier — 7% model odds
  5. Maggie Jo Hilliard — 7% model odds
  6. Andrew J. Maynard — 7% model odds
  7. Bennie J. Smith — 7% model odds
  8. Jimmy C. Ausbrooks — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts