Kentucky House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas Massie a 76% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2020 primary. Thomas Massie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thomas Massie — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Todd V. Mcmurtry — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts