Kentucky House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alexandra Owensby a 94% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2020 primary. Alexandra Owensby won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alexandra Owensby — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Shannon Fabert — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts