Kentucky House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Craven a 66% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2020 primary. Rhonda Palazzo won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mike Craven — 66% model odds
  2. Rhonda Palazzo — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Waymen Eddings — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts