Kentucky House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave S. Brett Guthrie a 58% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2020 primary. S. Brett Guthrie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. S. Brett Guthrie — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Kathleen L. Free — 42% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts