Kansas Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Roger Marshall a 62% chance of winning the Kansas Senate 2020 primary. Roger Marshall won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Roger Marshall — 62% model odds (won)
2. Steve Roberts — 6% model odds
3. Kris Kobach — 4% model odds
4. Bob Hamilton — 4% model odds
5. David Alan Lindstrom — 4% model odds
6. Brian Matlock — 4% model odds
7. Lance Berland — 4% model odds
8. John Miller — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts