Kansas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adrienne Vallejo Foster a 38% chance of winning the Kansas House 2020 primary. Amanda L. Adkins won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Adrienne Vallejo Foster — 38% model odds
  2. Sara Hart Weir — 36% model odds
  3. Amanda L. Adkins — 18% model odds (won)
  4. Mike Beehler — 4% model odds
  5. Tom Love — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts